Guarani de Juazeiro vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 3
GUA
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 2
CEA
11%
20%
69%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 0
GUA
44%
26%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
GUA
31%
28%
42%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 2
GUA
41%
27%
32%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
ITA
2 - 1
MAR
45%
27%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
ITA
53%
24%
24%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
ITA
38%
26%
37%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 2
CEA
8%
18%
74%
|
42 | 71 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 2
GUA
41%
27%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |