Guarani de Juazeiro vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
GUA
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
LIM
1 - 0
GUA
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 2
FER
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
CEA
14%
20%
66%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
QUI
1 - 1
GUA
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 2
ITA
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ITA
1 - 2
QUI
47%
24%
30%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
ITA
1 - 0
CRA
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
HOR
2 - 1
ITA
62%
20%
17%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
ITA
2 - 3
FER
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |