Guarani de Juazeiro vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.6%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.1%
+1
5.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
21.7%
71.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
22.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
29.3%
0-2
19%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.2%
-2
22.8%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 2
GUA
44%
26%
30%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
GUA
3 - 0
HOR
39%
26%
35%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
GPM
0 - 1
GUA
22%
21%
57%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
GUA
3 - 0
FLO
16%
25%
59%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | +8 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
TIR
1 - 2
GUA
65%
21%
14%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CEA
4 - 1
JUV
68%
21%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
AVA
2 - 0
CEA
25%
29%
46%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
COR
1 - 0
CEA
56%
25%
19%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
CEA
0 - 1
FLU
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
SCI
2 - 1
CEA
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |