Guaraní vs Botafogo SP analysis

Guaraní Botafogo SP
81 ELO 78
-9.2% Tilt -12.4%
555º General ELO ranking 710º
38º Country ELO ranking 40º
ELO win probability
52.7%
Guaraní
24.7%
Draw
22.6%
Botafogo SP

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
Guaraní
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.6%
Win probability
Botafogo SP
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Guaraní
-7%
-4%
Botafogo SP

ELO progression

Guaraní
Botafogo SP
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guaraní
Guaraní
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Nov. 2024
GUA
Guaraní
0 - 0
Ceará
CEA
25%
26%
49%
80 88 8 0
17 Nov. 2024
BRU
Brusque
2 - 1
Guaraní
GUA
31%
30%
39%
81 76 5 -1
13 Nov. 2024
GUA
Guaraní
0 - 0
Amazonas FC
AFC
57%
25%
18%
81 76 5 0
02 Nov. 2024
GOI
Goiás EC
1 - 0
Guaraní
GUA
63%
22%
15%
81 88 7 0
30 Oct. 2024
GUA
Guaraní
0 - 2
Novorizontino
NOV
34%
28%
38%
81 87 6 0

Matches

Botafogo SP
Botafogo SP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jan. 2025
BOT
Botafogo SP
1 - 1
Monte Azul
MON
80%
15%
5%
78 53 25 0
07 Jan. 2025
FER
Ferroviária
1 - 0
Botafogo SP
BOT
39%
27%
34%
78 75 3 0
23 Dec. 2024
BOT
Botafogo SP
1 - 1
Sertãozinho
SER
83%
13%
3%
78 44 34 0
22 Nov. 2024
COT
Coritiba
1 - 3
Botafogo SP
BOT
64%
22%
14%
77 84 7 +1
19 Nov. 2024
BOT
Botafogo SP
1 - 3
Avaí
AVA
38%
29%
33%
78 81 3 -1