Guaraní A. Franco vs Sarm. Resistencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
12.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
SOL
1 - 1
GAF
30%
30%
40%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2016 |
CFE
1 - 1
GAF
33%
30%
37%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
GAF
1 - 1
SPA
63%
23%
14%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 0
GAF
19%
28%
52%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
GAF
2 - 2
SOL
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sarm. Resistencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 0
CFE
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 0
SPA
34%
28%
38%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
SOL
0 - 0
SAR
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 0
GAF
19%
28%
52%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
CFE
1 - 0
SAR
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |