Guaraní A. Franco vs Def. de Pronunciamiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
LIB
1 - 1
GAF
27%
28%
45%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
SOL
0 - 0
GAF
35%
30%
35%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
GAF
4 - 4
GIM
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SPB
2 - 1
GAF
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
CFE
1 - 0
GAF
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Def. de Pronunciamiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
DPR
3 - 1
GIM
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
SPB
3 - 0
DPR
70%
19%
11%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
DPR
2 - 2
SOL
25%
24%
50%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
DPR
1 - 1
LIB
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2016 |
LIB
0 - 2
DPR
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |