Guangzhou City vs Shenzhen FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
31.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2006 |
SHA
1 - 1
GUA
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2006 |
GUA
2 - 7
SHA
19%
24%
58%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2006 |
BEI
1 - 0
GUA
64%
21%
14%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2006 |
GUA
2 - 1
GUI
22%
27%
51%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
TIT
2 - 0
GUA
68%
20%
13%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Shenzhen FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
SHE
0 - 0
CHO
67%
21%
12%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2006 |
SHA
1 - 0
SHE
63%
23%
14%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2006 |
SHE
0 - 3
SHA
22%
24%
55%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
BEI
2 - 0
SHE
60%
24%
16%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2006 |
SHE
2 - 2
GUI
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |