Guangzhou City vs Shenzhen FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.8%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
38.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2005 |
GUA
0 - 1
DAL
23%
27%
50%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
TIT
2 - 1
GUA
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2005 |
GUA
0 - 3
SHA
26%
26%
48%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
CHO
0 - 1
GUA
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
GUA
1 - 1
SZO
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Shenzhen FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2005 |
SHE
1 - 3
LIA
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2005 |
JUB
3 - 0
SHE
68%
20%
13%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
DAL
2 - 0
SHE
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2005 |
SHE
0 - 2
SIC
58%
25%
18%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
TIT
3 - 1
SHE
41%
29%
30%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |