Guangzhou City vs Shenzhen FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
43.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
DAL
1 - 0
GUA
83%
12%
5%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
GUA
0 - 1
BEI
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2002 |
GUO
0 - 2
GUA
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
GUA
1 - 1
SHA
30%
25%
46%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
TIT
2 - 1
GUA
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Shenzhen FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
SHE
0 - 0
SHA
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
ZHE
1 - 2
SHE
32%
29%
39%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2002 |
SHE
2 - 0
SZH
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
CHO
2 - 2
SHE
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
SHE
2 - 1
QIN
62%
23%
15%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |