Guangzhou City vs Shanghai Shenhua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
27.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
LIA
4 - 3
GUA
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
GUA
81%
13%
6%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
BEI
1 - 0
GUA
69%
20%
11%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
JIA
3 - 1
GUA
60%
24%
17%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 2
HBF
81%
14%
6%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Shanghai Shenhua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 0
SHA
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
SHA
3 - 1
BEI
32%
28%
40%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
JIA
2 - 2
SHA
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
QIN
1 - 0
SHA
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
SHA
0 - 0
SHE
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |