Guangzhou City vs Shanghai Shenhua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
42.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
TIT
3 - 0
GUA
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
GUA
3 - 0
BEI
36%
29%
36%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2004 |
QIN
1 - 0
GUA
41%
27%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
SHE
0 - 0
GUA
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
GUI
3 - 1
GUA
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Shanghai Shenhua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
SHA
3 - 2
GUI
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
SIC
1 - 1
SHA
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2004 |
SHA
1 - 1
CHO
64%
21%
14%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
SHA
2 - 1
SHA
45%
25%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2004 |
LIA
5 - 2
SHA
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |