Guangzhou City vs Guizhou Zhicheng analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
8.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
TIA
2 - 1
GUA
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
JIA
0 - 0
GUA
38%
24%
38%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 1
HEN
73%
17%
11%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
BEI
2 - 2
GUA
40%
26%
35%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
GUA
4 - 2
SHA
62%
20%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guizhou Zhicheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
GUA
4 - 0
GUI
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
GUI
0 - 0
SHA
22%
23%
55%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
DAL
2 - 1
GUI
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
GUI
1 - 1
SHA
18%
24%
58%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
TIT
5 - 1
GUI
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |