Guangzhou City vs Changchun Yatai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
SHA
5 - 1
GUA
60%
22%
17%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2016 |
HBS
1 - 1
GUA
10%
16%
74%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
CHO
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
SHA
2 - 3
GUA
69%
18%
13%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
JIA
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 0
SHA
27%
26%
47%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
SHA
0 - 0
CHA
32%
25%
44%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
YAN
2 - 0
CHA
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
JIA
2 - 0
CHA
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 3
SHA
20%
26%
54%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |