Guangzhou City vs Beijing Guoan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
HEB
2 - 1
GUA
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 1
SHA
55%
23%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
GUI
2 - 0
GUA
24%
25%
51%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
GUA
4 - 2
JIA
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
GUA
4 - 1
LIA
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
BEI
4 - 4
YAN
73%
19%
9%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
HEB
2 - 0
BEI
34%
28%
38%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
BEI
4 - 0
LIA
65%
22%
14%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2017 |
TIA
2 - 2
BEI
35%
28%
37%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
BEI
2 - 2
SHA
50%
26%
25%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |