Guangzhou FC vs Shenzhen FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
SHA
1 - 0
GUA
43%
24%
34%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 2
GUA
72%
18%
11%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 1
SUW
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
VIS
0 - 2
GUA
29%
23%
48%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 3
KUN
90%
7%
2%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Shenzhen FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
SHE
0 - 0
QIN
52%
23%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
HEN
1 - 2
SHE
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
SHE
2 - 1
QIN
50%
23%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
QIN
0 - 2
SHE
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
SHI
2 - 2
SHE
54%
24%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |