Guangxi Hengchen vs Haimen Codion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
60.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
7º
7º
38
10º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
53 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 18 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 16 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 15 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
62 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
38 | 3 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangxi Hengchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
JIA
53%
22%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 0
GUA
30%
22%
49%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -2 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 2
SHE
63%
18%
18%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
HSF
0 - 1
GUA
44%
22%
33%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
QYF
1 - 1
GUA
38%
23%
40%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Haimen Codion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
BIT
1 - 2
NHC
18%
22%
60%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
NHC
1 - 2
SHA
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 21 | 37 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
HFC
3 - 0
NHC
15%
21%
64%
|
58 | 27 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
LAN
2 - 1
NHC
14%
21%
65%
|
58 | 24 | 34 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
NHC
1 - 0
XIR
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 11 | 47 | 0 |