Guangdong vs Xinjiang Tianshan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangdong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
SHE
0 - 4
GUA
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 1
CHE
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 2
SHA
41%
27%
33%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 0
BEI
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
1 - 3
GUA
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Xinjiang Tianshan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
HUB
0 - 1
HEN
31%
28%
41%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SHE
2 - 1
HUB
64%
22%
15%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |