Guangdong Hongyuan vs Shenzhen FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
12.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangdong Hongyuan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
SHA
1 - 3
GUA
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
GUA
1 - 1
GUA
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1996 |
GUA
0 - 2
GUA
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1996 |
CHA
2 - 2
GUA
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1996 |
ZHE
1 - 0
GUA
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Shenzhen FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1996 |
SHE
0 - 2
SHA
25%
26%
49%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
DAL
5 - 2
SHE
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1996 |
GUA
1 - 0
SHE
72%
17%
11%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 1996 |
GUA
0 - 1
SHE
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 1996 |
CHA
2 - 0
SHE
54%
24%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |