Gualdo vs Castel San Pietro Terme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gualdo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
REG
2 - 0
GUA
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
GUA
1 - 2
ACS
56%
23%
22%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
GUA
2 - 1
CAR
27%
26%
47%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
FOL
4 - 1
GUA
37%
25%
39%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
GUA
2 - 2
CUO
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Castel San Pietro Terme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
CSP
3 - 3
FOR
37%
25%
38%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
ANC
1 - 1
CSP
79%
14%
6%
|
28 | 62 | 34 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
CSP
2 - 1
VIN
41%
25%
35%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
BEN
2 - 0
CSP
71%
19%
10%
|
27 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
CSP
4 - 2
FOL
22%
23%
55%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +4 |