Gualaceo vs Vargas Torres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
18.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
5º
4º
24
5º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 38 |
1º
|
43% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 38 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 37 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 35 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 34 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 32 |
6º
|
34.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 30 |
7º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 28 |
8º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
44.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
60% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 19 |
11º
|
87% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 16 |
12º
|
91.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
99.5% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 97.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gualaceo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
CFC
0 - 2
GUA
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
GUA
1 - 0
ESA
53%
28%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
GUA
1 - 0
OCT
33%
28%
39%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
IMB
1 - 1
GUA
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2025 |
GUA
2 - 2
LFC
52%
28%
20%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2025 |
CSV
1 - 1
OCT
24%
28%
49%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
IMB
0 - 0
CSV
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
CSV
1 - 1
LFC
40%
29%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
JUL
1 - 1
CSV
24%
26%
50%
|
66 | 20 | 46 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
CSV
0 - 0
CHA
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |