Gualaceo vs Vargas Torres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
19%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
8º
6º
33
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gualaceo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 1
ESA
56%
25%
18%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
INJ
4 - 1
GUA
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
MAN
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
LFC
0 - 1
GUA
30%
29%
42%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
CHA
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
CSV
0 - 0
MAN
26%
31%
43%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
CSV
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
CSV
0 - 0
INJ
22%
30%
48%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
CUN
2 - 0
CSV
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
CSV
0 - 1
OCT
25%
29%
46%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |