Gualaceo vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
30.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gualaceo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
CLA
1 - 2
GUA
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
COL
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MAN
2 - 0
GUA
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 3
IMB
54%
26%
20%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
OLM
1 - 0
GUA
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 2
ESP
67%
21%
12%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
TEC
1 - 0
MAC
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CLA
2 - 2
MAC
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 0
COL
69%
21%
10%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 0
MAC
36%
27%
38%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |