Gualaceo vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
38.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gualaceo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
CLA
0 - 1
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
COL
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
MAN
3 - 2
GUA
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
IMB
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
OLM
1 - 1
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 1
ESP
60%
23%
16%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
TEC
3 - 0
MAC
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
CLA
0 - 1
MAC
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 0
COL
61%
24%
15%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 4
MAC
46%
25%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |