Gualaceo vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
22.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gualaceo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 0
GUA
52%
27%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 3
FAM
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
DPT
1 - 1
GUA
31%
29%
41%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
5 - 1
LDU
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 2
DEL
49%
28%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 0
GUA
52%
27%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
DEL
1 - 0
MAC
53%
27%
20%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 0
ESP
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
IMB
1 - 3
MAC
40%
29%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
MAC
4 - 0
DEP
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |