Guaraí vs Tocantins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
46.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
INT
25%
24%
51%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
ARA
2 - 1
GUA
52%
23%
25%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 1
GUR
27%
25%
48%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 0
GUA
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 0
PAR
43%
25%
33%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Tocantins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
PAR
3 - 2
TOC
32%
26%
42%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
TOC
0 - 2
PAL
47%
24%
29%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
TOC
1 - 1
TOC
45%
25%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
TOC
1 - 0
INT
39%
26%
36%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
GUR
0 - 1
TOC
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |