Guaraí vs Tocantins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
32.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
INT
0 - 0
GUA
72%
17%
11%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ARA
2 - 0
GUA
51%
24%
26%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 2
PAL
39%
24%
37%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
TOC
1 - 0
GUA
63%
20%
18%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
CEC
0 - 1
GUA
55%
22%
23%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Tocantins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
TOC
2 - 0
ARA
39%
24%
37%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
TOC
1 - 4
INT
27%
24%
49%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
TOC
0 - 0
CEC
40%
24%
36%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
GUR
1 - 0
TOC
70%
17%
13%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
PAL
2 - 0
TOC
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |