Guaraí vs Tocantinópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
50.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 3
CEC
46%
24%
31%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
GUR
3 - 1
GUA
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 0
TOC
44%
24%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
INT
0 - 0
GUA
72%
17%
11%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ARA
2 - 0
GUA
51%
24%
26%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
ARA
2 - 3
TOC
31%
26%
43%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
TOC
4 - 1
TOC
66%
19%
15%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
GUR
3 - 2
TOC
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
TOC
3 - 2
PAL
51%
24%
25%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CEC
2 - 6
TOC
39%
24%
37%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |