Guaireña vs Olimpia analysis


75	ELO	80
-5.2%	Tilt	-9.3%
1097º	General ELO ranking	791º
9º	Country ELO ranking	3º
ELO win probability

33.2%

Guaireña

26.3%

Draw

40.5%

Olimpia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

33.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%

26.3%

Draw

0-0

7.4%

1-1

12.5%

2-2

5.3%

3-3

1%

4-4

0.1%

0

26.3%

40.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-12%

-10%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

11º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

24

2º

12º

11º

31

5º

12º

5º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

5º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	48	48	1º	100%
2º	40	40	2º	100%
3º	32	32	3º	100%
4º	32	32	4º	100%
5º	31	31	5º	100%
6º	29	29	6º	100%
7º	27	27	7º	100%
8º	27	27	8º	100%
9º	25	25	9º	100%
10º	24	24	10º	100%
11º	24	24	11º	100%
12º	19	19	12º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

CONMEBOL Libertadores	0%	0%
Mid-table	100%	100%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guaireña

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
29 Oct. 2023	GUA 0 - 0 GUA 59% 23% 18%	75	80	5	0
22 Oct. 2023	GUA 0 - 0 NAC 36% 27% 37%	75	80	5	0
19 Oct. 2023	TAC 1 - 3 GUA 44% 27% 29%	74	72	2	+1
07 Oct. 2023	GUA 1 - 5 LIB 31% 26% 43%	74	81	7	0
02 Oct. 2023	LQE 1 - 0 GUA 49% 26% 25%	74	76	2	0

Matches

Olimpia

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
29 Oct. 2023	OLI 0 - 0 CCP 51% 24% 25%	80	80	0
25 Oct. 2023	GUA 0 - 1 OLI 44% 25% 30%	80	80	0
21 Oct. 2023	OLI 2 - 2 SPT 49% 24% 27%	80	80	0
08 Oct. 2023	NAC 1 - 0 OLI 41% 26% 33%	80	81	1
03 Oct. 2023	OLI 0 - 0 RES 65% 20% 15%	80	71	9