Guaicurus vs 7 de Setembro SM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
62.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaicurus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2010 |
ITA
2 - 0
GUA
77%
16%
8%
|
10 | 52 | 42 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
NAV
3 - 1
GUA
78%
15%
7%
|
10 | 52 | 42 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 1
AGU
17%
22%
61%
|
10 | 48 | 38 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
IVI
4 - 1
GUA
80%
14%
6%
|
11 | 54 | 43 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
PAN
1 - 2
GUA
80%
13%
7%
|
9 | 34 | 25 | +2 |
Matches
7 de Setembro SM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
IVI
4 - 1
7DE
71%
18%
12%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2010 |
7DE
3 - 6
COR
24%
25%
52%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
7DE
0 - 0
PAN
51%
22%
27%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
ITA
2 - 0
7DE
64%
20%
15%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
AGU
2 - 1
7DE
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |