Guadix CF vs UD Pavía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
11.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+76%
+89%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guadix CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
MON
0 - 2
GUA
63%
21%
17%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 1
VAN
75%
17%
9%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
BER
0 - 3
GUA
54%
24%
23%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
MOL
1 - 2
GUA
55%
23%
22%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
GUA
6 - 0
UDL
81%
13%
6%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
UD Pavía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
PAV
3 - 1
GRA
29%
24%
47%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ALQ
1 - 1
PAV
80%
13%
8%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
PAV
0 - 1
CDV
50%
22%
28%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
ARE
3 - 0
PAV
73%
17%
10%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
PAV
1 - 3
HUE
74%
16%
11%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -2 |