Guadix CF vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
30.7%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.7%
40.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guadix CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
MAL
2 - 0
GUA
80%
15%
5%
|
41 | 71 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
GUA
4 - 1
CAD
23%
27%
50%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
CCF
2 - 0
GUA
75%
17%
8%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
GUA
1 - 0
GAL
29%
29%
41%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
SEV
0 - 2
GUA
81%
14%
5%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | +2 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
RJA
4 - 0
REA
69%
20%
10%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
VEL
0 - 3
RJA
44%
28%
29%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
RJA
1 - 0
POL
60%
24%
16%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
POL
1 - 1
RJA
43%
29%
28%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
RJA
1 - 2
XER
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |