Guadix CF vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
11.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guadix CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
ATB
3 - 1
GUA
51%
21%
29%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
GUA
0 - 0
CAA
53%
21%
26%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
PEN
3 - 2
GUA
80%
12%
8%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
LUC
1 - 1
POZ
61%
19%
20%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
RON
5 - 2
LUC
65%
18%
18%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
LUC
2 - 1
ANT
47%
21%
32%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 1956 |
MAL
3 - 1
LUC
78%
13%
9%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1946 |
CDB
2 - 1
LUC
84%
10%
6%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | -1 |