Guadiaro vs Jerez Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guadiaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
BAR
1 - 3
GUA
53%
23%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
GUA
5 - 0
TRE
57%
21%
22%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
GUA
2 - 0
ARC
35%
25%
40%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
TAR
1 - 0
GUA
67%
17%
15%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
GUA
2 - 1
CDC
58%
21%
20%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Jerez Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
JER
3 - 0
ARC
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
JER
3 - 0
BAR
46%
23%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
UDR
1 - 3
JER
48%
24%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
JER
1 - 2
BAZ
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
POR
0 - 2
JER
55%
23%
23%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |