Guadamur vs Recas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
63.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-89%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guadamur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
VAL
6 - 1
GUA
76%
14%
10%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 6
ARG
30%
22%
49%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
MOR
7 - 3
GUA
32%
21%
47%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
4 - 3
TAL
49%
22%
29%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ORG
5 - 1
GUA
74%
15%
11%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Recas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
REC
8 - 0
VEL
72%
16%
12%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
CDE
4 - 1
REC
60%
20%
20%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
REC
2 - 1
PUE
77%
14%
9%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
MOC
4 - 1
REC
60%
19%
21%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
REC
1 - 1
TAL
57%
20%
23%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |