Ascenso Costa Rica - Gran Final Final
Global 3-2
Guadalupe vs Consultants Moravia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+100%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guadalupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
MRP
4 - 0
GUA
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
GUA
2 - 1
MRP
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
GUA
1 - 2
ASE
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
CSU
1 - 3
GUA
19%
24%
57%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2025 |
GUA
2 - 0
TUR
82%
13%
5%
|
66 | 36 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Consultants Moravia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
MRP
0 - 0
JAC
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2025 |
JAC
1 - 1
MRP
20%
24%
56%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2025 |
JAC
3 - 1
ADR
21%
27%
53%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
ADR
1 - 0
JAC
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
JAC
2 - 0
QUE
26%
24%
50%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |