CD Guadalmar vs Villanueva de la Concepcion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
15.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+133%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Guadalmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
GUA
4 - 0
MOL
59%
20%
21%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CDS
1 - 2
GUA
28%
21%
52%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
ALH
36%
23%
41%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CDV
4 - 6
GUA
24%
21%
55%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 1
YEG
57%
21%
23%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Villanueva de la Concepcion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CDV
2 - 0
CDV
58%
19%
23%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
YEG
3 - 1
CDV
51%
21%
27%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CDV
4 - 1
BEC
61%
19%
21%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CDV
2 - 1
PIZ
46%
21%
33%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ELP
2 - 0
CDV
79%
13%
9%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |