Guadalcanal C.D vs Navas de la Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
16%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
16%
16.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guadalcanal C.D
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
MIN
3 - 2
GUA
23%
20%
57%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
LIC
58%
18%
24%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
SAN
64%
18%
18%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 6
GUA
47%
20%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 3
CON
44%
23%
33%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Navas de la Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
NAV
1 - 3
CAS
48%
21%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CON
4 - 1
NAV
72%
15%
13%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 1
NAV
50%
21%
28%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
NAV
0 - 4
CDA
27%
22%
51%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
NAV
1 - 1
CAN
28%
22%
50%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |