Guadalcanal C.D vs Navas de la Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.4%
13.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guadalcanal C.D
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ALC
4 - 2
GUA
64%
18%
19%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 3
GUA
34%
22%
45%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 1
PEÑ
70%
16%
14%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
LIC
2 - 1
GUA
22%
20%
58%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
GUA
5 - 2
CDD
48%
21%
31%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Navas de la Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
NAV
0 - 3
CAR
43%
22%
35%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
NAV
43%
23%
34%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
NAV
1 - 2
LIC
38%
22%
40%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CDD
5 - 2
NAV
63%
18%
19%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
NAV
0 - 1
MOS
33%
22%
45%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |