Guadalcanal C.D vs Navas Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
39.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guadalcanal C.D
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 3
GUA
49%
23%
28%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 1
GUA
59%
21%
21%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
GUA
6 - 5
CON
26%
23%
51%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
GUA
4 - 5
BUR
12%
19%
69%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Navas Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
CAS
3 - 3
NAV
29%
24%
48%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
NAV
4 - 1
CAN
49%
23%
28%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
CAZ
3 - 2
NAV
26%
24%
51%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |