Guadalcanal C.D vs Constantina UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
63.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-82%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guadalcanal C.D
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CAZ
6 - 0
GUA
82%
12%
6%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 8
ATL
10%
16%
74%
|
7 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CAS
6 - 1
GUA
47%
22%
31%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 4
CAM
18%
20%
62%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CEL
6 - 1
GUA
73%
16%
11%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Constantina UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CON
2 - 1
CAM
53%
20%
26%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CEL
3 - 0
CON
27%
23%
50%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 2
CON
70%
17%
13%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CON
7 - 1
PRI
62%
19%
19%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 2
CON
24%
23%
54%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -1 |