Guadalcanal C.D vs Celti Puebla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
60.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-103%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guadalcanal C.D
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 4
CAN
12%
19%
70%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PRI
6 - 1
GUA
60%
20%
20%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 1
MUR
12%
18%
70%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
UNI
7 - 0
GUA
64%
19%
16%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 1
TOR
15%
20%
66%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Celti Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CEL
3 - 1
CAM
32%
24%
44%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CEL
1 - 0
ERM
73%
17%
11%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CEL
2 - 1
CAN
19%
22%
59%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PRI
0 - 3
CEL
44%
24%
32%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +2 |