Guadalcanal C.D vs CD Demo B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
8.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guadalcanal C.D
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 2
GUA
19%
20%
61%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
CAN
2 - 3
GUA
20%
19%
61%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
GUA
4 - 3
CLA
39%
23%
38%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
GUA
6 - 1
SAN
82%
11%
7%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
CDA
3 - 3
GUA
43%
21%
36%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD Demo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
CAN
1 - 1
CDD
43%
21%
36%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
CDD
0 - 3
ATL
27%
21%
52%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CDD
2 - 3
CAL
28%
22%
50%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
CDD
1 - 2
CLA
33%
23%
44%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
TOR
3 - 1
CDD
11%
17%
72%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | -2 |