Guadalcanal C.D vs Cantillana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
57.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
+168%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guadalcanal C.D
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
CAZ
3 - 5
GUA
62%
20%
18%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 4
ALC
13%
20%
67%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
NAV
6 - 1
GUA
83%
12%
5%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 4
UNI
18%
21%
61%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 2
GUA
46%
23%
31%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cantillana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CAS
3 - 0
CAN
40%
24%
36%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CAN
2 - 0
PUE
65%
20%
16%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CAN
3 - 0
CAZ
70%
18%
13%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 0
CAN
60%
21%
19%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
CAN
2 - 0
NAV
36%
24%
40%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |