Guadalcanal C.D vs Calavera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
21.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+85%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guadalcanal C.D
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
UMO
3 - 2
GUA
36%
21%
43%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
ODU
2 - 1
GUA
29%
20%
51%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 1
VAL
44%
21%
35%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
SJO
3 - 1
GUA
16%
17%
68%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
GUA
3 - 2
CDL
39%
23%
38%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Calavera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 2
ODU
47%
22%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 1
CAL
64%
19%
18%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CAL
5 - 1
SJO
37%
23%
41%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CDL
2 - 1
CAL
70%
18%
12%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 1
TOR
43%
24%
33%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |