Guadalcanal C.D vs Alcalá del Río CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
42%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guadalcanal C.D
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CAZ
0 - 0
GUA
59%
19%
22%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
GUA
5 - 0
CRL
78%
12%
10%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MIN
0 - 2
GUA
26%
21%
53%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
BRG
3 - 3
GUA
36%
21%
44%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 3
CEL
36%
22%
43%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Alcalá del Río CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ALC
0 - 3
PEÑ
33%
23%
44%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CAN
0 - 1
ALC
55%
20%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ALC
7 - 2
PRI
67%
19%
15%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CAZ
2 - 2
ALC
47%
22%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ALC
2 - 0
CRL
75%
15%
10%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |