Chivas Guadalajara vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
31.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CHI
4 - 1
LEO
33%
26%
42%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 0
FAS
69%
20%
11%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 1
ATS
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
QRO
1 - 0
CHI
32%
29%
39%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
AME
0 - 0
CHI
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
TOL
0 - 2
TIG
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 1
QRO
65%
20%
16%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 2
AUR
71%
17%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
MON
2 - 0
TOL
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
TOL
3 - 1
AME
43%
24%
34%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |