Chivas Guadalajara vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
37.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2017 |
JAG
4 - 3
CHI
31%
29%
41%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 3
CHI
31%
29%
40%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 0
AME
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 0
MER
73%
19%
8%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ATS
1 - 2
CHI
39%
29%
31%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
TOL
3 - 1
TOR
68%
20%
12%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 3
PUE
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 2
TOL
35%
27%
39%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 1
VER
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 0
VER
68%
19%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |