Chivas Guadalajara vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
29.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
QRO
0 - 0
CHI
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
DEF
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 1
CAZ
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 2
CHI
46%
27%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 1
SAN
35%
26%
40%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 1
MON
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 2
TOL
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TOL
0 - 2
PUM
53%
25%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
TIJ
1 - 1
TOL
29%
29%
42%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
TOL
3 - 1
JAG
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |