Liga MX Sub 20 - Apertura Knock-outs Final
Global 5-3
Chivas Guadalajara U20 vs Atlas FC U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 1
GUA
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
GUA
5 - 1
CAZ
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
CAZ
0 - 1
GUA
37%
28%
36%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
GUA
4 - 1
TIG
59%
21%
20%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
TIG
0 - 1
GUA
36%
27%
38%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Atlas FC U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 1
GUA
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
MON
1 - 1
ATL
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
ATL
0 - 0
MON
36%
26%
39%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
ATL
0 - 2
PUM
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
PUM
0 - 2
ATL
43%
25%
32%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |