Liga MX Sub 16 - Apertura Final
Global 1-0
Chivas Guadalajara U16 vs Toluca U16 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
DTO
0 - 0
GUA
26%
24%
50%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 0
MNT
81%
12%
6%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
4 - 3
AME
84%
11%
5%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ATS
1 - 2
GUA
16%
21%
63%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
3 - 1
TIG
81%
12%
6%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
DTO
0 - 0
GUA
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
DTO
1 - 0
SAN
45%
24%
32%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
DTO
1 - 0
ATS
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
DTO
1 - 1
QUE
83%
11%
6%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CZA
3 - 2
DTO
37%
24%
39%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |